Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Seojin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
3 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 KU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 CAO Kim 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
6 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
8 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
9 HU Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
10 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
11 CHERON Helene 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
12 XIAO Cindy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
13 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
14 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
15 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
16 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
17 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
18 DING Jolie 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18% -
19 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
20 KIM Lucy 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
21 OH Chloe 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 4%
22 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
23 SON Ellie 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
24 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
25 KIM Grace M. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
26 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 1%
27 PALLADINO Aria 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
28 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 34% 4%
29 FISCHER Luna 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
30 TAN Angela 100% 99% 85% 45% 11% 1%
31 LIU Teresa 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
32 LIN Rongxuan 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 3%
33 LIU Alyssa 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
34 LIANG Katherine 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
35 YU Sydney 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
36 WEI Levana 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
37 OEI Allyson 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
38 PARK Hannah 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
39 KHAN Zoya 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
40 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
41 SEO Yunseo 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
42 SIMON Mariana 100% 79% 32% 6% - -
43 ONG Katherine 100% 98% 82% 38% 8% 1%
44 VARAH Alaia 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
45 VU Claire 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
46 ANUP Aadhira 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
47 VINES Annie 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
48 CHEXAL Nehali 100% 66% 18% 2% - -
49 WINSLOW Zaria 100% 97% 78% 36% 8% 1%
50 JIN Ailin 100% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
51 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 90% 42% 9% 1% -
52 LIU Michelle 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
53 KIM Nakyeong 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
54 HUANG Annie 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% - -
55 SRA Nureen 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
56 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
57 GUPTA Kanak 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
58 BAO Amelia 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
59 LEE Chaewon 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
60 BEAVERS cole 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
61 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
62 GANGUMALLA Srikari 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
63 ALAM Zara 100% 31% 3% - - -
64 ZHOU kelsey 100% 65% 17% 2% - -
65 WINGLER Ezri 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.