Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
3 JIN Noah 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
3 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
5 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
6 LAI Jaxon 100% 95% 69% 30% 5%
7 LAI Jayden 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
8 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
9 MA Joseph 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
10 FEELY Samuel 100% 80% 40% 10% 1%
11 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 1%
12 YAO Irvine 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% -
14 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
15 CHEN Regis 100% 97% 73% 26% 3%
16 YOU Emmanuel 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
17 IVANOV Andrew 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
18 SALIBA Jackson 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
19 MAURAIS JP 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
20 KOVAC Blake 100% 99% 89% 58% 19%
21 KIM Brendan 100% 69% 26% 5% -
22 HONG Evan 100% 95% 70% 31% 6%
23 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
24 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 88% 40% 7% -
25 CHEN Caleb 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
26 YAN Milan 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
27 LUO Sebastian 100% 88% 54% 18% 2%
28 ECCLESTONE Liam 100% 39% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.