Midwest ROC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOSS Evan 100% 99% 91% 57% 20% 3%
2 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
3 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
5 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
6 KIM Remington 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
7 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
8 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
9 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
10 GLEN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 1%
11 NOOL Alexander 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
12 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
13 SWENSON Diego 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
14 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
15 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
16 BALA-MAY Noah 100% 37% 5% - - -
17 YAP Nathan 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
18 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
19 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
20 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
22 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
23 JERDEE Colton 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
24 HERRERA Xavier 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% -
25 CAMPBELL Finn 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
26 THOMSON Champa 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
27 DRAWZ Chase 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
28 D'SA Thomas 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
29 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% -
30 YANG Junhu 100% 35% 5% - - -
31 SHI Yeyu 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.