BFA Grand Prix - Stage 2

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Bida Fencing Academy - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GUAN Angie 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
2 TAM Alisa 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
3 ISAAC Felicity 100% 99% 90% 53% 15% 1%
3 CHEN Yingying 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
5 CHEN Bennett 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
6 HSU Justin 100% 95% 64% 23% 3% -
7 CHOI Audrey M 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
8 ZHANG Axel 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
9 LEE Cayden 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
10 DELL Raissa 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
11 AN Smiley 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
12 QU Alice 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.