Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 LI Huangziyue - - - - 8% 41% 51%
3 WANG Alex - - - - 6% 34% 60%
3 YANG Justin - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
5 CAO HAOTIAN - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
6 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
7 LU Simon - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
8 YUEN Caleb - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
9 LUCAS William - - - 5% 30% 65%
10 WANG Theodore - - - 7% 40% 53%
11 HAO Johnny - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
12 KIM Enoch - - 2% 18% 51% 26% 3%
13 SHANKAR Rahm - 2% 18% 41% 34% 5%
14 AN Chris (Siyoung) - 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
15 ROH Jaden - - - 2% 23% 53% 22%
16 HUANG Keon - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
17 KANG Jayden 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
18 CHAN Troy - - 4% 23% 51% 22%
19 FISCHER Noel - - 2% 15% 41% 38% 3%
20 CHEN Zhengming - - 1% 11% 36% 43% 10%
21 ZHANG Caleb 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
22 KONDOGI Saivarun - 9% 35% 40% 15% 1%
23 CAI Limo 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% -
24 KIM Leo - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
25 CHEN Harrison 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
26 LIU Andy 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
27 SLOAN Ethan 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
28 DUFF Michael 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
29 SUN Eon 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
30 KORIVI Ishan 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
31 GONG Johnny 4% 41% 40% 13% 2% -
32 SU Eric 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
33 YANG Jake - 1% 8% 30% 42% 18% 1%
34 PARK Jayden - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
35 NUTHALAPATII Rishi 2% 16% 38% 34% 8% 1%
36 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
37 BALAGOPAL Aditya 1% 11% 35% 42% 11% 1% -
38 SRA Nawab 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
39 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 24% 43% 26% 6% - -
40 SALMAN Ibrahim - 8% 33% 41% 17% 1%
41 SHEN Alaric 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
42 KUANG Cyrus - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
43 MILLER Graham 3% 26% 42% 23% 5% - -
44 WU Allen 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
45 SHARMA Smyan 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
46 TANG Alex 7% 29% 41% 20% 3% -
47 OH Caleb 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
48 KANG Nathan 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
49 SAMPAT Arjun 62% 32% 5% - - - -
50 LEE Seojun 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
51 JAIN Aarambh 6% 35% 40% 16% 2% - -
51 SHI Mark 11% 37% 38% 12% 1% - -
53 STARLING Herbert 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
54 BURLA Saiavaneesh 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
55 SHI Caleb 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
56 POLES Lucas 84% 15% 1% - - -
57 GROVER Sebastian 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
58 UCHIYAMA Lucas 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.