Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARATH Sana - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
3 CAO Kim - - 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 MACHIRAJU Ishita - - 5% 27% 48% 20%
5 CORD Sophia - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
6 VARAH Alaia - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 14%
7 LEE Chaewon 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
8 YANG Felicia - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
9 CHENG Anna - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
10 POWERS Waverly - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
11 WEI Levana - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
12 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
12 LIN Rongxuan - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 8%
14 WINSLOW Zaria 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
15 SUTHERLAND Sadie 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
16 LIANG Katherine 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
17 YU Sydney - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
18 HU Ashley - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
19 TAN Angela - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
20 SIMON Mariana 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
21 KIM Lucy 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
22 SON Ellie 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
23 LIU Kaylee 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
24 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
25 ONG Katherine 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
25 FISCHER Luna 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
27 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 1% 8% 30% 42% 18% 2%
28 SOUTHWELL Mia - 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
29 LIU Alyssa - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
30 GAO Anita - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 1%
31 BAO Amelia 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
32 SRA Nureen 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
33 HUANG Annie 4% 25% 43% 24% 4% -
34 ALAM Zara 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
35 KHAN Zoya 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
36 CHEXAL Nehali 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
37 KU Sophie Grace - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
38 GANGUMALLA Srikari 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
39 JIN Ailin 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
40 CERVERA Zoe 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
41 MADAMINOVA Ariadna 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
42 ZHOU kelsey 10% 41% 37% 11% 1% -
43 VU Claire 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
44 WANG ZOE 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
45 JAKKA Manaswini 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
46 MYLEK Ashlynn 1% 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
47 SHAIKH Sarah 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.