Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 CAO Kim 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
3 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20%
5 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
6 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
7 LEE Chaewon 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
8 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
9 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
10 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
11 WEI Levana 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
12 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
12 LIN Rongxuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
14 WINSLOW Zaria 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
15 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
16 LIANG Katherine 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
17 YU Sydney 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
18 HU Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
19 TAN Angela 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
20 SIMON Mariana 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
21 KIM Lucy 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
22 SON Ellie 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
23 LIU Kaylee 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
24 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
25 ONG Katherine 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
25 FISCHER Luna 100% 97% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
27 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
28 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
29 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
30 GAO Anita 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
31 BAO Amelia 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
32 SRA Nureen 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
33 HUANG Annie 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
34 ALAM Zara 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
35 KHAN Zoya 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
36 CHEXAL Nehali 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
37 KU Sophie Grace 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
38 GANGUMALLA Srikari 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
39 JIN Ailin 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
40 CERVERA Zoe 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
41 MADAMINOVA Ariadna 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
42 ZHOU kelsey 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% -
43 VU Claire 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
44 WANG ZOE 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
45 JAKKA Manaswini 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
46 MYLEK Ashlynn 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
47 SHAIKH Sarah 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.