San Diego Senior Cup #2

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 9:00 AM

LionHeart Fencing Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEE Royce 100% 100% 98% 80% 36%
2 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
3 HAU Pak-Kei 100% 100% 97% 70% 21%
3 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
5 WILKENS Zach Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 NORTON Henry 100% 99% 90% 53% 11%
7 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 98% 84% 39% 1%
8 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
9 LIANG Dong 100% 71% 27% 4% -
10 KNIGHT Alex 100% 97% 62% 15% 1%
11 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
12 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
13 PICKETT Alexander 100% 54% 12% 1% -
14 SWANSON Miles 100% 73% 28% 4% - -
15 NUGENT Curtis 100% 90% 53% 14% 1% -
16 LEE Sang 100% 75% 28% 5% -
17 KREIDL Attila N. 100% 66% 22% 3% -
18 WANG Dylan 100% 87% 45% 8% -
18 GAYLORD Ronan 100% 77% 27% 4% -
20 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
21 LUNDE Drew 100% 98% 81% 38% 6%
22 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 96% 74% 27% 1%
23 DU Yiwei 100% 99% 87% 48% 11%
24 POUND David 100% 88% 51% 15% 1%
24 CHHOKAR Inder 100% 97% 59% 15% 1%
26 SETTE Alessandro 100% 100% 93% 59% 15%
27 YI David 100% 90% 56% 16% 1%
28 CREASON Nicholas 100% 62% 15% 1% -
29 SMITH Mason 100% 18% 1% - -
29 WEINBERG Ron 100% 95% 69% 27% 3%
31 HORN Evans 100% 81% 36% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.