Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
3 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
3 CHEN Keegan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
5 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
7 LU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
8 GENG Vincent 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
9 YU Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
10 FANG Lionel 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
11 NG Harry 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
12 LI Mason 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
13 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
14 YANG Luca 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
15 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1%
16 HAN Jayden 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
17 HUANG Owen 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
18 SUN Zedong Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
19 ZHANG Bryson 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
20 SU Sean 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
21 HO Marcus 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
22 LIU Benji 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
23 CHEN Jesse 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12% 1%
23 LIANG Anker 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
25 SHOU William 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% -
26 HAN Owen 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
27 LIU Jordan 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
28 LIU Yuyang 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
29 WANG Eason 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
30 CHOI Christian 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
31 ZHANG Tingyu 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
32 MORONES Amisael 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
33 LAUX Carter 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
34 NACU Andre 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
35 ALLEN Ashton 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
36 CREANGA Matthew 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
37 WOOD Theodore 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
38 WOOD Oliver 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
39 NIU Charlie 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
40 GOEL Sanav 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.