MFA Senior Mixed Friday Night Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIVOVAROV Lucas - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
2 ZHANG Lucas - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
3 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
3 CHU Ted - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
5 ANDERSON Kai - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
6 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
7 GUO Woody - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
8 RAMEY Daylon 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
9 MENG Fina 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
10 DENIER Frank - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
11 PERALTA Christian - 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
12 LIU Aaron - 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
13 GANESH Maxen 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
14 ANDERSON Elias W. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
15 MCLAREN Mason - - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
16 GIBSON Ryder - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
17 HOFMAN Haejung 2% 51% 37% 9% 1% - -
18 BECK Brian C. - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
19 CHU Zane 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
20 PERALTA SR. Christian 75% 22% 3% - - - -
21 FRANK Nathaniel 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.