MFA Senior Mixed Friday Night Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
2 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
3 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
3 CHU Ted 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
5 ANDERSON Kai 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
6 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
7 GUO Woody 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 RAMEY Daylon 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
9 MENG Fina 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
10 DENIER Frank 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
11 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
12 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
13 GANESH Maxen 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
14 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
15 MCLAREN Mason 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
16 GIBSON Ryder 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
17 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 98% 47% 10% 1% - -
18 BECK Brian C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
19 CHU Zane 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
20 PERALTA SR. Christian 100% 25% 3% - - - -
21 FRANK Nathaniel 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.