Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 KIM Rylie 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
3 JU Victoria 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
5 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
6 WANG Manny 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
7 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
8 WEN Lillian 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 5%
9 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
10 MCCLAIN Grayce 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
11 MORONES Alieza 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
12 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
13 ZHENG Rachel 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
14 LI Beatrice 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
15 FANG Savannah 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
16 FU Angela 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
17 CHAN Jaclyn 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
18 HUANG Jiayu 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
19 CHEN Arianna 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
20 LIM EDELINE 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
21 DAI Claire 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
22 MA Annabella 100% 68% 24% 5% - -
23 YU Thea 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
24 MAYES-POURNARAS Zara 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
25 DONG Ena 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
26 PAN Nina 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
27 LEE Alethea 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
28 ZHU Leona 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
29 KIM Taerin 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% -
30 HAN Charlotte 100% 76% 24% 3% - -
31 WANG Amelia 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
32 LI Catherine 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.