Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
3 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
3 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 33% 7%
5 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
6 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
7 TIAN Ariana 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
8 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
9 JOSHI Samika 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
10 SHRESTHA Arya 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
11 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 1%
12 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
13 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
14 LIU Alyssa 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
15 WANG Emily 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
16 WANG Selina 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
17 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
18 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
19 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
20 AN Jamie 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
21 OH Chloe 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
22 MENON Maya 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
23 LIU Teresa 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
24 PIÑOL Annika 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
25 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
26 ZHANG Manyao 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
27 LIAO Audrey 100% 92% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
28 DESAI Sabrina 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
29 DEMRY Kylee 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
30 ONG Katherine 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
31 ONO Lisa 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
32 DATLA Aanya 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
33 SAGER Bianca 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
34 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
35 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
35 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
37 DOWNES Camille 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
38 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
39 SIROTA Simone 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
40 RADELL Zoe 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
41 ATA Emily 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
42 LEE Jiyoung 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
43 AN Jasmine 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
44 LI Gloria 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
45 BORROK Katherine 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
45 HAROYAN Lilit 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
47 MCCABE Ashley 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
48 NORRIS Phoebe 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
49 QUILLIAM Ophelia 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.