Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan - - - 1% 10% 43% 46%
2 LIM EUNSEONG - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 FANG Haoyu - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 WEI Winston - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
5 WANG Mendy - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
6 ZHAI Derrick - - - 2% 13% 42% 42%
7 KIM Daniel - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
8 ZHAO Ryan - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
9 SONG HAN GYEOL - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
10 RAU Shogun - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
10 ZHENG Marcus - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
12 LIU Aaron - - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
13 CHANG Parker - - 1% 12% 50% 37%
14 PLUMMER Waylon - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
15 HUYNH Matthew - - 1% 11% 48% 39%
16 HUANG Dalynn - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
17 LIU Alex - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
18 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% < 1%
19 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
20 YANG David H. - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
21 WEI JR Shan - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
21 OH Joshua - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
23 TIAN Dylan 5% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
24 XIE Jayden - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
25 SHOU Raymond - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
26 ULYSSE Jacob - 3% 15% 36% 33% 11% 1%
27 ZHAI Alex - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
28 WU Wallace - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
29 KUO Phineas - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
30 LEE Kyle 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
31 KUBBA Krish - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
32 LEONG Samuel 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
33 TAN Charlie - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
34 CHOI Hunter - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
35 WANG Freyr 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
36 LI Aaron - 10% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
37 ZHANG Eric - 2% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
38 ZHONG Tian - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
39 ZHENG Lerui - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
39 CHEN Ethan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
41 KIM Ethan 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
42 YANG Luca 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
43 LEE Ryan 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
44 ZHONG Yi - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
45 ZHENG Austin - 3% 15% 36% 33% 11% 1%
46 FAN Ze Lin - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
47 STIRLING CHARLES - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
48 PAN Gary 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
49 SONG Enoch 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
50 LIN Lucas - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
51 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
52 PACK Lindsey 2% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
53 CAO Joshua 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
53 BRADY David 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
55 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
56 CHEN Kyler 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
57 XU Ryan - 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
58 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual - 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
59 CAO Aaron - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
60 LI Andrew 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
61 JIAO Daniel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
62 MORALES Tycho 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
63 MCCOOL Henry 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
64 LEONG Michael 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
65 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 10% 36% 39% 13% 1% -
66 PARK Joshua 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
67 KIAYIAS Anthony 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
68 HUDSON Jedidiah 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
69 LIN Oliver 25% 46% 24% 5% - - -
70 TIAN Andy - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
71 XU Jonathan 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
72 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 12% 56% 27% 5% - - -
73 XU Jason - 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
74 XU Rambert 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
75 LIU Mason 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
76 TSENG Lucas 2% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
77 ROBERTSON Liam 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
78 WEBER Andrew 1% 11% 35% 41% 10% 1%
79 ALANAZI Saif - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
80 HOLLANDER Max 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
81 AGARWAL Jagrav 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
82 MAYER-STALEY Jace - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
83 HUYNH Kaleb 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
84 CHEN Keegan 27% 44% 23% 5% - - -
85 YANG George 78% 20% 2% - - - -
86 TINGLE Byrd 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
87 SUN Andrew 31% 45% 21% 3% - -
88 ITWARU Logan 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
89 HUANG Anthony 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
90 KLINE Benjamin 52% 38% 10% 1% - -
91 WU Connor 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
92 NG Chuck 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
93 HYUN Francis 20% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
94 MONTGOMERY Henry 76% 23% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.