Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46%
2 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 WEI Winston 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
5 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
7 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
9 SONG HAN GYEOL 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
10 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
10 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
12 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
13 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
14 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
15 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 39%
16 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
17 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
18 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% < 1%
19 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16% 1%
20 YANG David H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
21 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
21 OH Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
23 TIAN Dylan 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
24 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
25 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 3%
26 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
27 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
28 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
29 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
30 LEE Kyle 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1%
31 KUBBA Krish 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
32 LEONG Samuel 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
33 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
34 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
35 WANG Freyr 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
36 LI Aaron 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
37 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1%
38 ZHONG Tian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
39 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
39 CHEN Ethan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
41 KIM Ethan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
42 YANG Luca 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
43 LEE Ryan 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
44 ZHONG Yi 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
45 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
46 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
47 STIRLING CHARLES 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
48 PAN Gary 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
49 SONG Enoch 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
50 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
51 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
52 PACK Lindsey 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1%
53 CAO Joshua 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
53 BRADY David 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
55 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 86% 47% 11% 1% -
56 CHEN Kyler 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
57 XU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
58 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
59 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
60 LI Andrew 100% 98% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
61 JIAO Daniel 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
62 MORALES Tycho 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
63 MCCOOL Henry 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
64 LEONG Michael 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
65 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 90% 53% 15% 1% -
66 PARK Joshua 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
67 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
68 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
69 LIN Oliver 100% 75% 30% 6% - - -
70 TIAN Andy 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
71 XU Jonathan 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
72 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 100% 88% 32% 5% - - -
73 XU Jason 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
74 XU Rambert 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
75 LIU Mason 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
76 TSENG Lucas 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
77 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
78 WEBER Andrew 100% 99% 88% 52% 11% 1%
79 ALANAZI Saif 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 10% 1%
80 HOLLANDER Max 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
81 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
82 MAYER-STALEY Jace 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
83 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
84 CHEN Keegan 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
85 YANG George 100% 22% 2% - - - -
86 TINGLE Byrd 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
87 SUN Andrew 100% 69% 24% 3% - -
88 ITWARU Logan 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
89 HUANG Anthony 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
90 KLINE Benjamin 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
91 WU Connor 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
92 NG Chuck 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
93 HYUN Francis 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
94 MONTGOMERY Henry 100% 24% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.