Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div II Women's Foil

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 8:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SNYDERS Evelyn 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
2 NUNLEY Victoria - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
3 MOORE Addisyn - - 4% 20% 38% 31% 7%
3 WU Lorena 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
5 SELSER Ella - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
6 CAVANAGH Emma - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
7 CHENG Isa - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
8 UHRICH Reese - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
9 IBRAHIM Yara 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
10 LEE isabella - 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
11 JAIN Dia 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
12 BERGMANN Beatrix 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
13 TOMASI Samantha 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
14 SOMAN Indraa 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
15 JOHNSON Elizabeth 68% 28% 4% - - - -
16 LUEKEN Adelina 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
17 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
18 LU Zoe 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
19 CROWE Talia 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
20 JOSEPH Rachel 9% 45% 34% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.