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Event Results

Y-12 Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
21 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Manyao 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
2 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
3 CHANG Kelly 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
3 RADELL Zoe 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
5 YAO Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
6 VU Claire 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
7 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
8 NORRIS Phoebe 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
9 SADHU Mira 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
10 HONG Eden 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
11 CHEN Jolene 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
12 PAVONY Arya 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
13 CHANG Eleanor 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
14 MAZZURCO Sydney 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1% -
15 JEON Karis 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
16 JAVIER Jordan 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
17 SUN claire 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
18 LIN Martina 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
19 GREENHOUSE Harper 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
20 WANG Emily 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
21 D'AMELJ Ludovica 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -