Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELARABY Mazen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
3 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 34%
5 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
6 FILATOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
7 JI Johnson 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
8 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
9 EYSTER Edison 100% 100% 97% 71% 27% 3% -
10 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
11 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
12 ANDRADE VARGAS Jose Ricardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 5%
13 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
14 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 95% 69% 25% 3% -
15 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
16 BENSON Jacob 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
17 MOON Noah 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
18 WANG Ziyao 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
19 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 98% 77% 34% 4% -
20 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 48%
21 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 96% 67% 23% 2% -
22 BRESLOW Frederick M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
23 YADAV Lakshya 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
24 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 2%
25 REHM Liam 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
26 TSAO Oliver 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
27 KANE Kiran 100% 80% 35% 6% - -
28 LIU Guanyu 100% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
29 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
30 BIALIK Noah 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
31 PARCELL Colby 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
32 TSAO Alister 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
33 SZULIM Rad 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
34 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
35 YADAV Ajay 100% 42% 5% - - - -
36 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 99% 89% 53% 11% -
37 SU Ji 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
38 ELLIS Bremmen 100% 75% 18% 2% - - -
39 LIU Jayden 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.