Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAN Jayden - 1% 12% 36% 39% 11% 1%
2 PARK Joshua - - - 5% 30% 57% 7%
3 LIANG Anker - 4% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
3 HAN Owen - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
5 CHEN Jesse - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
6 DAYAL Dax - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 CHOI Christian - 5% 29% 42% 21% 3% -
8 DUDLEY William - - - 6% 31% 52% 10%
9 NIU Charlie 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
10 LIU Kyle - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
11 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
12 FORBES Xavier 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
13 JOSEPH Reuben - - < 1% 1% 9% 36% 55%
14 CREANGA Matthew 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
15 GOEL Sanav 21% 56% 20% 3% - - -
16 WOOD Theodore 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
17 TAKAHASHI Genya 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
18 STANSBURY Malcolm 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
19 GERELUS Grant 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
20 WILK Aaron 58% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.