Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Malika - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
2 LEWIN Isabelle - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
3 QI Chelsie - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
3 KWON Allison 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 1%
5 KIM Kate - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
6 CHANEY Evelyn - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
7 CHANG Hannah - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
8 MEGGERS Arya - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
9 ABDELKAREM Maya - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 4%
10 LEE Gloria 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
11 CHUNG Yenna - 6% 30% 40% 20% 3%
12 LIANG Kristy - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
13 ZHAO Crystal - 6% 29% 40% 20% 3%
14 LEE Vivian 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
15 KIM Brooke - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
16 WANG Jenny wang 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
17 KIM Lina 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
18 WU Caroline 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
19 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
20 RYU Natalee - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 2% -
22 ALVAREZ Megan 25% 50% 21% 3% - -
23 WILKERSON Katherine 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
24 CHOI Serine 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
25 PARIZAT Maya 43% 44% 12% 1% - -
26 ABDALLAH Lily 23% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
26 BEDNAR Clara 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.