Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
2 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
3 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
3 KWON Allison 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
5 KIM Kate 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
6 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
7 CHANG Hannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
8 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17%
9 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
10 LEE Gloria 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
11 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
12 LIANG Kristy 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
13 ZHAO Crystal 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
14 LEE Vivian 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
15 KIM Brooke 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
16 WANG Jenny wang 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
17 KIM Lina 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
18 WU Caroline 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
19 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
20 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
21 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
22 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 75% 24% 4% - -
23 WILKERSON Katherine 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
24 CHOI Serine 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
25 PARIZAT Maya 100% 57% 13% 1% - -
26 ABDALLAH Lily 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
26 BEDNAR Clara 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.