October NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Monday, October 15, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERGMAN Thomas C. 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
2 HARLEY Sage N. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
3 LAI Eric A. - 4% 21% 41% 27% 6% -
3 JEFFORDS Alexander 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
5 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - - - 3% 28% 52% 17%
6 ESCUETA Tony V. 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
7 GINIS Nathan 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
8 WOOD Elden S. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
9 JONES Graham H. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
10 LUEBBE Macklan C 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
11 WU Nicholas R. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
12 D'ORAZIO Joseph - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
13 VASILYEV Nikita K. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
13 KANG Brandon M. - 6% 29% 42% 20% 2% -
15 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 1% 7% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
16 DRESSELL Wiley - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
17 RIVERA Inigo Franco - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
18 LIMB Matthew G. 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
19 KIM Sean G. - - - - 5% 33% 61%
20 HAMMER Peter A. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
21 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 1% 7% 30% 39% 20% 3%
22 DANNULL Linus N. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
23 ZHOU Matthew R. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
24 VAULES Charles W. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
25 QIU Le 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
26 SHANAHAN Adam E. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
27 FLORES Peter D. - 3% 19% 42% 30% 5%
28 YEN Joshua C. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
29 HOLMES Aiden G. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
30 BROWNE JR Rolston D. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
31 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
32 GREMILLION Ezekiel R. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
33 YOUNG Nash - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
34 WUN William - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
35 KOKKIN Jack S. 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
36 YAN Jack P. - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
37 CHANG Howard - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
38 YATES Colum C. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
39 GREENE Joseph T. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
40 TSAO Ethan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
41 WINKLER Lucas G. - - 1% 9% 37% 44% 10%
42 KEEFE Duncan - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
43 GAFFNEY John M. 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% -
44 HUANG Zekai 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
45 LASORSA Matthew 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
46 GAUTAM Dhruv 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
47 EPSTEIN Henry N. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
48 LAI Adam J. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
49 WYCHE Scott H. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
50 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
51 DRESSELL Wyatt C. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
52 GOTTSCHALK Alexander P. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
53 WINEBURNER J.T. 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
54 ZHOU Miles 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
55 FILS-AIME Jacob E. 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% - -
56 KIM Benjamin H. - - 4% 26% 43% 23% 4%
57 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
58 SMITLEY Tyler J. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
59 HOEY-WASOW Henry 3% 20% 39% 30% 7% -
60 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
61 NARANJO David E. 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
62 KRATZ Alexander 14% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
63 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
64 HONE Marc 10% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
65 PARKER Timothy S. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
66 GRINAGE Alex M. 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
67 AHN Sung-Ho 2% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1% -
68 PROGRESSOV Dmitrii 5% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
69 BARBEE Jackson 17% 58% 22% 3% - - -
70 LARSON Eric H. 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
71 TREJO Oliver 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
71 PIHLSTROM Richie 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.