October NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Monday, October 15, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERGMAN Thomas C. 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
2 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
3 LAI Eric A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% -
3 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
5 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 17%
6 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
7 GINIS Nathan 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 WOOD Elden S. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
9 JONES Graham H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
10 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
11 WU Nicholas R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
12 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
13 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
13 KANG Brandon M. 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 2% -
15 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
16 DRESSELL Wiley 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
17 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
18 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
19 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
20 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
21 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
22 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
23 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
24 VAULES Charles W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
25 QIU Le 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
26 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
27 FLORES Peter D. 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 5%
28 YEN Joshua C. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
29 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
30 BROWNE JR Rolston D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
31 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
32 GREMILLION Ezekiel R. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
33 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
34 WUN William 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
35 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
36 YAN Jack P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 12% 1%
37 CHANG Howard 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
38 YATES Colum C. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
39 GREENE Joseph T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
40 TSAO Ethan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
41 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 10%
42 KEEFE Duncan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
43 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
44 HUANG Zekai 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
45 LASORSA Matthew 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 1%
46 GAUTAM Dhruv 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
47 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
48 LAI Adam J. 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
49 WYCHE Scott H. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
50 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
51 DRESSELL Wyatt C. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
52 GOTTSCHALK Alexander P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
53 WINEBURNER J.T. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
54 ZHOU Miles 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
55 FILS-AIME Jacob E. 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
56 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 4%
57 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
58 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
59 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
60 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
61 NARANJO David E. 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
62 KRATZ Alexander 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
63 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
64 HONE Marc 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
65 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
66 GRINAGE Alex M. 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
67 AHN Sung-Ho 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1% -
68 PROGRESSOV Dmitrii 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
69 BARBEE Jackson 100% 83% 25% 3% - - -
70 LARSON Eric H. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
71 TREJO Oliver 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
71 PIHLSTROM Richie 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.