Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MARISI Gianna - - - - 12% 88%
2 HAFEZ Sahar - - 8% 39% 52%
3 SELSER Ella - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 KHETPAL Aalia - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
5 MEITZEN Havah - 5% 30% 49% 16%
6 IBRAHIM Yara 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
7 REILLY Carys 1% 8% 30% 43% 18% 1%
8 IRIZARRY Nyla 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
9 WU Lorena 2% 16% 36% 35% 12%
10 LEE isabella - 3% 16% 42% 36% 3%
11 JOSEPH Hannah 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
12 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 1% 17% 48% 29% 4%
13 JAIN Dia 4% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
13 MALHOTRA Vera 23% 43% 27% 6% - -
15 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
16 LIU Bella 15% 37% 33% 13% 2%
17 BAILEY Penelope 15% 53% 27% 4% -
18 SOMAN Indraa 13% 36% 35% 14% 2%
19 JOSEPH Rachel 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
20 LU Sophie 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
21 JOHNSON Elizabeth 63% 33% 4% - -
22 LUEKEN Adelina 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.