Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 91% 52%
3 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
5 MEITZEN Havah 100% 100% 95% 65% 16%
6 IBRAHIM Yara 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 91% 62% 19% 1%
8 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
9 WU Lorena 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
10 LEE isabella 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 3%
11 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
12 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 99% 81% 34% 4%
13 JAIN Dia 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
13 MALHOTRA Vera 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
15 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
16 LIU Bella 100% 85% 48% 15% 2%
17 BAILEY Penelope 100% 85% 32% 4% -
18 SOMAN Indraa 100% 87% 51% 17% 2%
19 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
20 LU Sophie 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
21 JOHNSON Elizabeth 100% 37% 4% - -
22 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.