Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 100% 100% 98% 72% 13%
3 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 ZHAO David 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
6 ROPER Griffin 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
7 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
8 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
9 TIAN Andy 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
10 LI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 6%
11 BRADY David 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
12 CHEN Keegan 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
13 HAN Jiaren 100% 100% 92% 57% 12%
14 FANG Ryan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
15 DAVE Neil 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
16 DENG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
17 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
18 XIA Wenhao 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
19 LIU KUNDE 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
21 XIONG Jeffrey 100% 94% 42% 8% -
22 ZHENG Vincent 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
23 WU Yulen 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
24 LU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
25 GENG Vincent 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
26 PELLERIN Liam 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
27 FOMIN Dashiell 100% 96% 71% 27% 3%
29 WANG Grant 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
30 BLAIS julian 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
31 WANG Timothy 100% 88% 44% 9% 1%
32 XU Jaden 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
33 BHOSREKAR Som 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
34 STARK Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15% 1%
35 TANAKA Nico 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
36 RAY William 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
37 SCHNEIDER Aiden 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
37 WILSON Henry 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
39 LECH Landon 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
40 CUI Jason 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
41 MENZEL Lucas 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
41 SALERNO A.J. 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
41 LIU KELVIN 100% 50% 11% 1% -
44 THAKKAR Advait 100% 100% 98% 76% 24%
45 LI Ethan 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
46 ZARAYSKI Thomas 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
47 RENSHAW Hunter 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
48 XU Terry 100% 99% 73% 29% 5% -
49 WENG Jingfan 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
50 SINGH Deven 100% 15% 1% - -
51 OGILVIE Marsden 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.