Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROTZ Nicolas - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
2 LI Grayson - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 LIU Max - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
3 TANG Michael - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
5 LIN Daniel - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
6 GUO Luke - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 LEUNG Dylan - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
8 SZETO Zachary 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
9 HUA Nolan 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
10 YU Haoyun 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
11 YU Brandon 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
12 SCHIPPER Johann - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
13 NG Alexander 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
14 WONG Vansen - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 10%
15 REICHMANN Theo - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
16 FUNG SCOTT 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
17 BALUCAN Caelus - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 OR Anson - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
19 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
20 WONG Aaron - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
21 LEE Joshua 3% 24% 43% 25% 5% -
22 SONG Jonathan 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
23 DIESSNER Henry 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
24 DING Max - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
25 CHAN Nathan 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
25 JU Shang 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
27 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
28 LUCENAY Samuel 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
29 CHAN Alik 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
30 LAVEZZO Dominic - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6%
31 LOUIE Kyle 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
32 ORTMANN Noah 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
33 PARK Sihoon 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
34 DODGE Myles 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
35 BALUCAN Gabriel 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
36 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
37 NARAYANUN Advay 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
38 KO Ian 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
39 HUANG Eason 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
40 SHARMA Aniket - 4% 22% 40% 28% 5%
41 MARVEL Charles 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
42 YE Andrew 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
43 NISHIOKA Hiro 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
44 JUN Hajoon 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
45 JI Dylan 76% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.