Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
2 LI Grayson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 LIU Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
5 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
6 GUO Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
7 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
8 SZETO Zachary 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
9 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
10 YU Haoyun 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
11 YU Brandon 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
12 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
13 NG Alexander 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
14 WONG Vansen 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 10%
15 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
16 FUNG SCOTT 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1%
17 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
18 OR Anson 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
19 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
20 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
21 LEE Joshua 100% 97% 73% 31% 5% -
22 SONG Jonathan 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
23 DIESSNER Henry 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
24 DING Max 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
25 CHAN Nathan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
25 JU Shang 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
27 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
28 LUCENAY Samuel 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
29 CHAN Alik 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
30 LAVEZZO Dominic 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6%
31 LOUIE Kyle 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
32 ORTMANN Noah 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
33 PARK Sihoon 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
34 DODGE Myles 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
35 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
36 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
37 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
38 KO Ian 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
39 HUANG Eason 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
40 SHARMA Aniket 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
41 MARVEL Charles 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
42 YE Andrew 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
43 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
44 JUN Hajoon 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
45 JI Dylan 100% 24% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.