Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
2 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
3 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5%
3 ZUNIGA Carlos Andres Flores 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
5 FIAMINGO Francisco 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 WANG Kaiyan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
7 CASH William Li 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
8 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
9 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
10 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
11 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
12 WANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
13 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
14 LEE Henry 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
15 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
16 URIA Sullivan 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
17 ZHANG Eric I. 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
18 MCCABE Kian 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
19 RAMEY Daylon 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
20 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
21 OSHIMA Robert 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
22 CARNALL Hunter 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
23 EVANS George 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
24 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
25 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
26 BANG Dylan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
27 JARRATT Isaac 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% -
28 HERDMAN Julian 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
29 LORENZ Nathan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
30 KIM Zac 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
31 SAAD Peter 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
32 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
33 DELONG Mike 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
34 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
35 GANZY Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
36 BATISTA Julian 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
37 MCCLEAN III Walter F. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
38 VELLALA Avinash 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
39 EVANS Joseph 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
40 HALE Bradley 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
41 KONG Ethan 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
42 PERI Mourya 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
42 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
44 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
45 CHONG Eden 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
46 SOVA Thomas 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
47 BUI Ryan 100% 99% 83% 43% 11% 1%
48 ZAKHAROV Konstantyn 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
49 BEUTLER Andreas 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
50 CHAU Collin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
51 SALLAI Abel 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
52 SACKETT Gavin 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
53 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
54 SAAD Noah 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
55 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
56 PRABHU Srinish 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
56 CHOI Joshua 100% 29% 3% - - -
58 CHIU Sebastian 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.