Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
2 CHOW Kingsley 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
3 PACK Lindsey 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
3 NEGLEY Royce 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
5 SINGH Jai Anand 11% 34% 36% 16% 3%
6 PARK Joshua - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
7 WEBER Andrew 3% 20% 42% 32% 3%
8 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
9 ZHANG Ethan - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
10 HUDSON Jedidiah 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1%
11 ERTZBERGER Joel 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
11 HUA Isaac 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
13 HUYNH Kaleb - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
14 LIU Mason 5% 23% 39% 27% 7%
15 ALANAZI Saif - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
16 LIN Oliver 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
17 ITWARU Logan 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
18 TINGLE Byrd - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
19 HOLLANDER Max 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
20 SAHA Rohan 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
21 HA Mason 1% 14% 39% 36% 10%
22 WILLIAMS Zakayo 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
23 SHAY Xander 62% 32% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.