Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
2 CHOW Kingsley 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
3 PACK Lindsey 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
3 NEGLEY Royce 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
5 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 89% 54% 19% 3%
6 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
7 WEBER Andrew 100% 97% 77% 35% 3%
8 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
9 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
10 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1%
11 ERTZBERGER Joel 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
11 HUA Isaac 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
13 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
14 LIU Mason 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
15 ALANAZI Saif 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 10%
16 LIN Oliver 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
17 ITWARU Logan 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
18 TINGLE Byrd 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
19 HOLLANDER Max 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
20 SAHA Rohan 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
21 HA Mason 100% 99% 85% 46% 10%
22 WILLIAMS Zakayo 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
23 SHAY Xander 100% 38% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.