Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Xier - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 MEGGERS Arya - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
3 HAGERMAN Siona - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
3 KWON Allison 15% 39% 33% 11% 1%
5 ZHANG Sophia 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
6 KWON Claire - 4% 21% 42% 30% 3%
7 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
8 QI Chelsie - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
9 CHANG Hannah 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
10 MORET Teagan 9% 37% 36% 15% 3% -
11 AXELROD Charlotte - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
12 KIM Kate 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
13 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
14 KIM Lina 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
15 BURKE Claire - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
16 SILVA Hailey 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
17 NAPOLI Eleanor 4% 22% 41% 28% 6% -
18 KELLY Evelyn 27% 43% 24% 6% -
19 KIM Kaylin 35% 43% 19% 4% - -
20 CHI Evelyn 10% 32% 36% 18% 3% -
21 FEDINATZ Anna 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
22 WANG Jenny wang 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
23 COSTLOW Alexandra < 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.