Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SINGH Evangelina - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
2 HAFEZ Sahar - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 REILLY Carys - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
3 LEE isabella - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
5 LIU Bella - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
6 MCKINNEY Olivia - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
7 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
8 HUANG Gabrielle - 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
9 PARK Hannah - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
10 YAO Emma - 5% 20% 39% 31% 5%
11 SOMAN Indraa - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
12 JOHNSON Elizabeth 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
13 LEE Soli 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
14 IRIZARRY Nyla 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2%
15 JOSEPH Hannah - 7% 28% 40% 22% 2%
16 LU Sophie 2% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
17 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
18 WU Karina 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
19 BAILEY Penelope 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
20 GOEL Saanvi 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
21 FLICKINGER Sadie 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% -
22 SOMAN Nabha 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
23 JIANG Arwen 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
24 KILLIAN Deirdre 1% 7% 31% 42% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.