Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
2 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 REILLY Carys 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
3 LEE isabella 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
5 LIU Bella 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
6 MCKINNEY Olivia 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
7 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
8 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
9 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
10 YAO Emma 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
11 SOMAN Indraa 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
12 JOHNSON Elizabeth 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
13 LEE Soli 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
14 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
15 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 100% 92% 65% 24% 2%
16 LU Sophie 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
17 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
18 WU Karina 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
19 BAILEY Penelope 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
20 GOEL Saanvi 100% 55% 14% 1% - -
21 FLICKINGER Sadie 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
22 SOMAN Nabha 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
23 JIANG Arwen 100% 58% 14% 2% - -
24 KILLIAN Deirdre 100% 99% 92% 61% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.