Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
2 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 DOUGLASS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
5 GUO Joey 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
6 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
7 LIU Zichen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
8 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 HUANG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
10 OH Kepler 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
11 MASOOD Rohail 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
12 YEE Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
13 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
14 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
15 HE Gary 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 DING Sam 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
17 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
18 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
19 LI Lief 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
20 GARCIA Carter 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
21 YUNG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
22 YAN Aaron 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
23 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
24 LI Jake 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
25 KAJITA Grayson 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
26 JUE Lucas 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
27 MANANSALA Caleb 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
28 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 3%
29 TSAI Spencer 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
30 CHENG Alvin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
31 LI Yunze 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
32 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
33 MAO Runxian 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
34 PULA Siddharth 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
35 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
36 SCHOR William 100% 92% 52% 16% 3% - -
37 PICACHE Crockett 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
38 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
39 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
40 CHOI William 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
41 HUANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
42 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
43 WONG Sebastian 100% 91% 51% 16% 2% - -
44 OH Isaiah 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% - -
45 WONG Connor 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
46 LIN Dylan 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
47 XIE Kevin 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
48 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
48 CHETWANI naman 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
50 NAGPAL Kai 100% 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% -
51 SCHAMP Eliot 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% - -
52 WANG Ian 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
53 VIZCARRA Nathan 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
54 WONG Kingston 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
55 GUIDI Preston 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
55 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.