Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUA Nolan - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
2 BENNETTE Graham 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
3 SAMOYLOV Daniel - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 DIRKSEN Jamie 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
5 DING Max - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
6 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
7 JU Shang - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
8 CHI Zachary - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
9 CHU Clayton - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
10 CHAN Nathan - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
11 YIM Antonio - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
12 WANG Franklin 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
13 LIN Logan - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
14 CHO Lincoln - 2% 19% 41% 30% 7%
15 YIM Benjamin - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 MATUSOW Brandon - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
17 YI Alexander - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
18 REN Mark - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
19 GIRIRAJ Aditya 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
20 LI NATHAN 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
21 LEUNG Joon - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
22 SALIM Ethan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
23 YE Andrew 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
24 GACIOCH Calvin 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
25 SZETO Jonathan 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
26 OUYANG Anderson 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
27 JI Dylan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
28 NOVOSELOV Roman - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
29 PARK Sihoon 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
30 POLIAKOV Timur 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
31 LI Ethan 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
32 WALKER Jack < 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
33 XUE Skyler 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
34 SNYDER Jude 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1%
35 PEREZ Atticus 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
36 LEE Connor 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
37 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 3% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1%
38 YOON Jasper 59% 35% 6% - - -
39 NISHIOKA Hiro 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
40 ELLABOUDY Ali - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
41 BUELL Spencer - 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
42 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
43 WANG Aaron 14% 49% 30% 6% 1% -
44 LIN Conner 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.