Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
2 BENNETTE Graham 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
3 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
5 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
6 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
7 JU Shang 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
8 CHI Zachary 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
9 CHU Clayton 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
10 CHAN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
11 YIM Antonio 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
12 WANG Franklin 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
13 LIN Logan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
14 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 98% 78% 37% 7%
15 YIM Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
16 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
17 YI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32%
18 REN Mark 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
19 GIRIRAJ Aditya 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
20 LI NATHAN 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
21 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
22 SALIM Ethan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
23 YE Andrew 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
24 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
25 SZETO Jonathan 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
26 OUYANG Anderson 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
27 JI Dylan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
28 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
29 PARK Sihoon 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
30 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
31 LI Ethan 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
32 WALKER Jack 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
33 XUE Skyler 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
34 SNYDER Jude 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
35 PEREZ Atticus 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
36 LEE Connor 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
37 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
38 YOON Jasper 100% 41% 6% - - -
39 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
40 ELLABOUDY Ali 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
41 BUELL Spencer 100% 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
42 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
43 WANG Aaron 100% 86% 37% 7% 1% -
44 LIN Conner 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.