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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Junior Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
24 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
2 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 BENSON Jacob 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
3 LIU Guanyu 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
5 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
7 MOON Noah 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
8 CHANG Ethan 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
9 BREUER Daniel 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
10 JI Johnson 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 7%
11 LEUNG Arthur 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
12 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 97% 68% 25% 3% -
13 PERRIN Leo 100% 99% 87% 49% 11% -
14 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 98% 77% 34% 6% -
15 WANG Max 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
16 REHM Liam 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
17 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
18 BUKZIN Alan 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
19 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
20 ELLIS Bremmen 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
21 BIALIK Noah 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
22 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
23 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 23% 2% - - -
24 WANG Ziyao 100% 80% 31% 6% - -