Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
2 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
3 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
5 GUO Yuexi 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
6 LIU Teresa 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
7 HU Emily 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15% 1%
8 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 1%
9 WANG Emily 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
9 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
11 LIU Alyssa 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
12 WANG Selina 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
13 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 2%
14 SAGER Bianca 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
15 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
16 ONO Lisa 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
17 HILTON Penelope 100% 27% 2% - - -
18 JEON Kristen 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
19 ARIF Haniya 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
20 CAMPISE Sophia 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.