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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Cadet Women's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCPool Heatmap

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
20 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
2 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
3 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
5 GUO Yuexi 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
6 LIU Teresa 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
7 HU Emily 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
8 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 1%
9 WANG Emily 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
9 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
11 LIU Alyssa 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
12 WANG Selina 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
13 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
14 SAGER Bianca 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
15 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
16 ONO Lisa 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
17 HILTON Penelope 100% 27% 2% - - -
18 JEON Kristen 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
19 ARIF Haniya 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
20 CAMPISE Sophia 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%