Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
2 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - - 1% 13% 86%
3 PE Noah - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
3 LI Lucas - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
5 WEI Winston - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
6 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
7 GORDON William L. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
8 ONG Nicholas - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
9 CHOI Ethan - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
10 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth - 1% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
11 CHOI Colin - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
12 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
13 TANG Brayden - 7% 30% 42% 20% 1%
14 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
15 HONG Edwin - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 8%
16 YANG Tate 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
17 TSOI Spencer - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
18 FOY Grant - 1% 9% 33% 42% 16%
19 PARK Andrew - - 5% 25% 46% 23%
20 WANG sicheng - 3% 23% 45% 24% 4%
21 DENG David - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
22 LEE Christopher 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
23 MASOOD Rohail 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
24 ZHANG Andrew 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
25 BORG Matthew - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
26 LEE Abin - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
27 GUO Austin - 2% 21% 42% 29% 6%
28 WONG Braxton - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 4%
29 TRUJILLO Jonah 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
30 ZHANG Jason 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
31 ALCAZAREN Cian 4% 32% 41% 20% 4% -
32 LOPES-EASON Liam James 36% 40% 19% 5% 1% - -
33 VARIDIREDDY Suhan - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
34 ZHOU Ryan - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
35 WASHBURN Cooper 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
36 XU Ethan 1% 16% 45% 31% 7% -
37 PARK Avan - 6% 33% 40% 17% 2%
38 OH Kepler 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% -
39 CHEN kenneth 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
40 YOUNG Luke - 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
41 BHANOT Arjun 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
42 MANIKTALA Suvir - 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
43 HUANG Nathan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
44 YUNG Brandon 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
45 DANIEL Nikith 1% 24% 43% 26% 6% -
46 BLUNCK Kristof - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
47 DACKO Nolan 1% 16% 40% 33% 9% -
48 HE Ian - 7% 30% 42% 20% 1%
50 LI Aaron 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
51 MAZAHERI John 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
52 ZHAN Kevin - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6%
53 YE Jerry - 9% 32% 39% 18% 3%
54 PONTOPPIDAN Erik - 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
54 LEE Colin 12% 59% 25% 4% - - -
56 KWONG Colin 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
57 PICACHE Crockett 25% 52% 21% 3% - -
58 WILLIAMS Matthew 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
59 KOEHLER Marc 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
60 GOURLEY Jack 34% 52% 13% 1% - -
61 TONEF Christian - 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
62 LEE Lucas 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
63 SHADRAVAN Arash 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
64 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
65 TEJAKUSUMA Eric 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
66 TSAI Spencer 45% 46% 9% 1% - -
67 SCHAMP Eliot 88% 12% 1% - - -
67 JEREZ PINE Luca 48% 42% 9% 1% - -
69 NAGPAL Kai 76% 22% 2% - - -
70 MALEK Youssef 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
71 LE Oliver 75% 23% 1% - - - -
72 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 94% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.