Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Christabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 LIU Kaylee 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
3 WANG April 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 4%
3 QIU Isla Qiu 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% < 1% -
5 KIM Addison 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
6 CHAN Clara Minna 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
7 CERVERA Zoe 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
8 CHANG Jillian 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
9 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
10 LAKHIANI Inisha 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
11 YANG Callie 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
12 KIM Serena 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
13 GEORGE McKenzie 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
14 CHEN Emma 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
15 SU Stacy 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
16 LEE Ella 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
17 LEI Chloe 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
18 ZHANG Madeline 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
19 NIP Sienna 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
20 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
21 LVOVSKIY Lily 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
22 KUNIMOTO Zara 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
23 LEE Athena 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
24 TSENG Kimberly 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
25 QUAN Hailey 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
26 LOH Isabelle 100% 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.