Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Isabelle - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
2 YANG Nina - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
3 WANG Phoebe - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
3 GAO Nicole - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
5 DING Xuanwen - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
6 SHIH Eva 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
7 ZHANG ANGELA - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
8 HAN Yuna 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
9 LA Abigail 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
10 YU Elise 5% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
11 LIANG Ariel 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
12 FARIAS Liana - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
13 KIM Charlotte 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
14 HWANG Faith 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
16 WANG Elizabeth 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
17 SHIH Cayla 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
18 BAI lufei 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
19 WU Kayleigh 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
20 LEE Katherine 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.