Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 YANG Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
3 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
3 GAO Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
5 DING Xuanwen 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
6 SHIH Eva 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
7 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% 1%
8 HAN Yuna 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
9 LA Abigail 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
10 YU Elise 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1%
11 LIANG Ariel 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
12 FARIAS Liana 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
13 KIM Charlotte 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
14 HWANG Faith 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
16 WANG Elizabeth 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
17 SHIH Cayla 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
18 BAI lufei 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
19 WU Kayleigh 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
20 LEE Katherine 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.