Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
2 EVANS Desmond - - - - 4% 32% 63%
3 WANG Waylon - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 PARK Kaiden - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
5 MAZAHERI John - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
6 JIN Yucheng - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
7 CHEN Solomon - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
8 JEON Joohun - - 1% 7% 31% 48% 13%
9 ZHANG William - - 2% 17% 49% 31%
10 RAJ Yojith - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
11 CHENG Alvin - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
12 SHA Lambor(Laien) - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
13 YU Jinyuan - 3% 21% 42% 29% 6%
14 FOO Kingston - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
15 LI Lief 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
16 WU Gengze (Daniel) - 1% 13% 39% 39% 8%
17 LIN Sampson - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
18 SHENOY Neil - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
19 TROYANKER Makar 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
20 SHENOY sean - - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
21 NGUYEN Norris - 10% 40% 37% 11% 1%
22 ZHOU jiatong - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
23 LEE Juneau - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
24 NGO Lincoln 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
25 LIU Aiden - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
26 KAJITA Grayson - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
26 LEE Elliot 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
28 ZENG Cayden - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
29 TAN benjamin - 2% 13% 34% 37% 12% 1%
30 CAO Benjamin - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
31 WANG Charles 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
32 SHAO Tysen 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
33 YAN Aaron - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
35 TIKHONOV Aleksandr - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
36 CHOI William - 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
37 HUANG Owen - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
38 KIM Ryan 1% 9% 33% 43% 13% 1%
39 CHEN Ian 8% 32% 41% 17% 2% -
40 LOZANO Koen Alexander 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
41 BAGWELL Theodore 12% 53% 29% 5% - -
42 YIN Luke 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
43 KUK Francis - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
44 XU Benjamin 6% 31% 43% 18% 2% - -
45 LIU Kingston 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
46 WANG Eason - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
47 RAMZAN Haaris - - 1% 13% 47% 38%
48 MA Justin - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
49 BHANGOO Arman 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
50 ANDERSON Stellan 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
51 LITVACK Jackson 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
52 ZHANG Bryant 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
53 SHIN Daniel Y 12% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
54 LUO Derren 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
54 PHILLIPS Julian 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
56 LEE Reiden 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
57 HSU Jacob 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
58 CHANG George 11% 40% 37% 11% 1% -
59 SASOMSUP Kaison 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
60 ZHANG alex 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
61 ZHOU Osborn - 5% 32% 43% 17% 2% -
62 WANG Andy 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
63 KIM Noah 71% 26% 2% - - -
64 BRADY Theodore 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
65 KHANDAN MILAN 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
66 TOTH Leland 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
67 PARK Bryant 2% 18% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
69 ZUO Thomas 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
70 WU Kangdi 4% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
71 STOCK Ian 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
72 KIM Ryan 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
73 KWOK Ethan 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
74 LU David 72% 25% 3% - - - -
75 MONTANO Walter 9% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.