Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 LI John V V D V D V V V V V 3.2 3 -0.2
2 DING Daniel V V V V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
3 HONG Eason V V D V V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
3 FU Benjamin V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
5 LIU Yihong V V V D V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
6 WANG Alexander D V V V V V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
7 LAU Jesse D V D V V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
8 LI Ethan D V D D V V V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
9 JIN JETFAN V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
10 LEE Daniel V V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
11 PINCHUK Spencer V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
12 LU Jayden V V V D V V D 1.7 4 +2.3
13 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel V D V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
14 DODDAPANENI Arjun V V D V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
15 CHO Lincoln V D D V D V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
16 BUSH Andrew D D D V V V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
17 KIM Ian V V V V V D 1.9 5 +3.1
18 LEE Zeo V V V V V D D 1.3 5 +3.7
19 YIM Benjamin V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
20 DUCOURNAU Enzo D D V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
21 MAH Caffrey D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
22 DAI Greyson D V V V D D 1.0 3 +2.0
23 HWANG Isaac D V V V D D 2.1 3 +0.9
24 TOUPET Luke V D D V V D 3.0 3 -
25 SHIH Terry V D V D D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
26 SHI Ethan D D V D V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
27 SHIH Eli V V D D D V D 0.7 2 +1.3
28 WAN William V D V D D V D 2.0 2 -
29 NI Liam V D V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
30 CHEN Andrew D D D V D V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
31 YANG Mikey D V D D D V D 2.6 1 -1.6
32 XUE Jason D D V D D V D 2.3 1 -1.3
33 CHIANG WESLEY V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
34 ZHANG Lucas D D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
35 CAMPBELL Briggs D D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
36 OSIKA Wyatt D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
37 HUO Yichen V D D D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
38 HAN Kyle D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
39 JANKO Miles D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
39 YU Anson D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
41 YAN Roman D D D D D D 3.6 0 -3.6
42 LEE Jayden D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
43 WATKINS Max D D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.