Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-8 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HO Karsten - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
2 CHOI Christian - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 LU Eli - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
3 SHUKLA Arjoon - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 7%
5 LYSHKOUSKI Daniil - - 4% 16% 36% 33% 11%
6 CHEN Alwyn 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
7 LIU Charles - - 3% 13% 33% 36% 14%
8 NIU Charlie 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
9 WANG Owen - - 3% 18% 41% 34% 3%
10 WOOD Oliver 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
11 MORONES Amisael 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
12 KIM Nicholas 7% 24% 33% 24% 9% 2% -
13 JAGANNATHAN Adrian 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
14 HAN Arthur 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
15 SHI Benjamin 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
16 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
17 NGUYEN Ethan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
18 YOUNG Sage 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
19 TANG Aiden 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
20 DAGUNTS Mikhail 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
20 SCHILDGE Felix < 1% 4% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.