Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-8 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HO Karsten 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
2 CHOI Christian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 LU Eli 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
3 SHUKLA Arjoon 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
5 LYSHKOUSKI Daniil 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
6 CHEN Alwyn 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
7 LIU Charles 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
8 NIU Charlie 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
9 WANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37% 3%
10 WOOD Oliver 100% 98% 84% 57% 26% 7% 1%
11 MORONES Amisael 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
12 KIM Nicholas 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
13 JAGANNATHAN Adrian 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
14 HAN Arthur 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
15 SHI Benjamin 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
16 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
17 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
18 YOUNG Sage 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
19 TANG Aiden 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
20 DAGUNTS Mikhail 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
20 SCHILDGE Felix 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.