Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HART-SYED declan - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 KIAYIAS Alexander - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
3 WANG Mendy - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 LIU Aaron - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
5 PAN Ethan - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
6 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
7 KO Caleb - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
8 OH Christopher - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
9 SHIN Noah - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
9 BAI Austin - - - - 5% 32% 63%
11 KIM Daniel - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
12 PARK Gi Beom - - - 1% 14% 50% 35%
13 LAM Kirin - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 4%
14 ZHANG Hanru - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
15 LATORRE Leonardo - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 23%
16 SLAIN Owen - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 6%
17 HUYNH Matthew - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
18 ZHAI Derrick - - - 5% 31% 63%
18 YU Eric - - 1% 11% 34% 42% 12%
20 LYU Brandon - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
21 LIM EUNSEONG - - - 1% 10% 48% 41%
22 YUAN Zhihe - - - 2% 11% 39% 49%
23 XU Ryan - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
24 CHANG Parker - - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
25 BEYDOUN Sam - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
26 KINGSLEY Griffin - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
27 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
28 XIE Jayden - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
29 WU Wallace - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
30 QU Richard - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
31 ZHANG Eric - 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
32 ZHANG Aaron - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
33 JIN Andy - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
34 TANG Royce - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
35 FAN Ze Lin - - 1% 6% 28% 46% 20%
36 CHOI Hunter - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
37 OH Joshua - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
38 JIN George - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
39 KAGAN Noah - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
40 KUPERBERG Thomas - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
41 QIAN Henry - - 5% 27% 49% 17% 2%
42 KAYE Ben - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
43 ULYSSE Jacob - - 5% 24% 44% 24% 3%
44 DANTON Ryan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
45 CAO Joshua - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
46 AYYAGARI Abhiram - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
47 BAS Jonathan - 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 3%
48 ZHAO David - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
49 LIU Alex - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
50 CHENUTULA Abhinav - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
51 SONG Enoch - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
52 LEE Aeden 1% 19% 42% 31% 8% -
53 YANG David H. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
54 MOON Nolan - 9% 36% 39% 14% 2% -
55 CHEN Ethan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
56 ZHENG Austin - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
57 HU Michael - 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
58 LI Andrew 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
59 WU Alexander - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
60 QIAN Will - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
61 CHEN Steven 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
62 SHOU Raymond - - 1% 9% 34% 44% 12%
63 KIAYIAS Anthony - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
64 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
65 FANG Haoyu - - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
66 PARK Joshua - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
67 YANG Steve - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
68 TOOMRE Kai - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 7%
69 MCCOOL Henry - 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
70 ZHAO Jason - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
71 ZHONG Kingsley - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 2%
72 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - 2% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
73 SAMUEL Lucas - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
74 PAN Howard Haoran - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
75 ZHANG Ethan - 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
76 LAWRENCE James 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
77 BUCHNER Roland 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
78 PACK Lindsey 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
79 LEE Ryan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
80 TAN Alan 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
81 QIAN Zekai - 2% 16% 40% 36% 6%
81 FREL Vincent 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
83 WANG Jaaziel 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
84 HUANG Dalynn - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
85 HUANG Jinyao - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
86 LIU Yilin 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
86 HEBERT SEBASTIEN 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
88 YANG Luca 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
89 KUBBA Krish - 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
90 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 6% 31% 38% 19% 5% - -
91 MORALES Tycho 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
91 XIE Ethan - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
94 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 1% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
95 ROBERTSON Liam 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
96 LIN George 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
97 HUYNH Kaleb - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
98 XIA Vincent - 5% 23% 41% 25% 6% -
99 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
100 ZHENG Lerui - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
101 SHEN Lucas 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
102 PAYNE Lynas 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
103 LIN Lucas 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
104 CHOW Kingsley 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
105 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
106 CHENG Karter - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
107 WANG Joshua 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
108 JIANG Bohan - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
108 CHEN Kevin 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
110 GUGALA Frank 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
111 SHARMA Ari 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
111 TINGLE Byrd 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
113 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
114 WU Connor 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
115 XU Jason - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
116 WILLIAMS Thomas 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
117 LIU Mason 1% 11% 34% 40% 13% 1% -
118 MADDES Gage - 8% 33% 40% 16% 2% -
119 MOORE Quinn 2% 23% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
120 WATERFIELD Lysander 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
121 SUN Nathan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
122 CHONG Cooper 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
123 LU Hansen - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
123 CHEN Kyler 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
125 JIAO Daniel 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
126 CHUNG Royce 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
127 LEE Ryan 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
128 WU Max 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
129 DECASTRO Evan - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
130 JIN Daniel - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
131 GU Evan 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
132 LEE Kyle 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
133 LIN Dylan 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
134 CHOE Austin 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
135 HUA Isaac 1% 25% 43% 25% 5% -
136 JORGE Elijah - 10% 34% 39% 16% 1%
137 ITWARU Logan 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
138 AN Jacob 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
139 MATIYASH Andrew 61% 33% 6% - - - -
140 CHANG Joshua 23% 44% 27% 6% - - -
141 XU Jonathan 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
142 SINGH Jai Anand 3% 18% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
143 HUANG Anthony 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
143 SUN Andrew 11% 51% 31% 7% - - -
145 PATEL Aarav 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
146 KUTATELADZE Danieli 11% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
147 CHEN Keegan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
148 AZAR Julien 66% 30% 4% - - - -
149 OWNBY Colin - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
149 TEOH Liam 9% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
151 PANG Owen 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
152 BOSNJAK Parker 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
153 KOO Jaeha 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
154 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 5% 36% 41% 15% 2% - -
154 NETESA Lukian 88% 12% 1% - - -
156 DEGRYSE Leopold 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
157 AMR HOSSNY Adam 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
158 GOLDSTEIN Tate 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
158 IM Andrew 9% 33% 40% 17% 2% - -
158 LIU Max 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
161 ALANAZI Saif 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
161 WEBER Andrew 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
161 ENOIU Ethan 72% 25% 3% - - - -
164 DING Jacob 11% 49% 31% 8% 1% - -
165 KLINE Benjamin 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
166 MACK Julian 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
166 LUND Jonah 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
168 DAVIDSON Henry 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
169 BHATTACHARYA Dhruv 68% 29% 3% - - - -
170 MARVEL Elliot 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
171 SAFAI Bardia 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
171 WANG Alexander 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
173 MENESES-VAUGHN Lucas 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
173 MCINTYRE Christopher 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.