Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 21% 3%
3 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
6 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
7 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
8 OH Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
9 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
9 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
11 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 PARK Gi Beom 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
13 LAM Kirin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
14 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
15 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
16 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
17 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
18 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
18 YU Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12%
20 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
21 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 41%
22 YUAN Zhihe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
23 XU Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
24 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
25 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
26 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
27 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
28 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
29 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
30 QU Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
31 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
32 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 3%
33 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
34 TANG Royce 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
35 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
36 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
37 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
38 JIN George 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
39 KAGAN Noah 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
40 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
41 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 18% 2%
42 KAYE Ben 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
43 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
44 DANTON Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
45 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
46 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
47 BAS Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3%
48 ZHAO David 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
49 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
50 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
51 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
52 LEE Aeden 100% 99% 81% 39% 8% -
53 YANG David H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
54 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
55 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
56 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
57 HU Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
58 LI Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
59 WU Alexander 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
60 QIAN Will 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
61 CHEN Steven 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
62 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
63 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
64 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
65 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
66 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
67 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
68 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 7%
69 MCCOOL Henry 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
70 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
71 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 2%
72 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
73 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
74 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
75 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
76 LAWRENCE James 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
77 BUCHNER Roland 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
78 PACK Lindsey 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
79 LEE Ryan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
80 TAN Alan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
81 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 6%
81 FREL Vincent 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
83 WANG Jaaziel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
84 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
85 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
86 LIU Yilin 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
86 HEBERT SEBASTIEN 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
88 YANG Luca 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
89 KUBBA Krish 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14% 1%
90 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% - -
91 MORALES Tycho 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
91 XIE Ethan 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
94 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
95 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
96 LIN George 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
97 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
98 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
99 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
100 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
101 SHEN Lucas 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
102 PAYNE Lynas 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
103 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
104 CHOW Kingsley 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
105 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
106 CHENG Karter 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
107 WANG Joshua 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
108 JIANG Bohan 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
108 CHEN Kevin 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
110 GUGALA Frank 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
111 SHARMA Ari 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
111 TINGLE Byrd 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
113 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
114 WU Connor 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
115 XU Jason 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
116 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
117 LIU Mason 100% 99% 88% 54% 14% 1% -
118 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 92% 59% 19% 2% -
119 MOORE Quinn 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
120 WATERFIELD Lysander 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
121 SUN Nathan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
122 CHONG Cooper 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
123 LU Hansen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
123 CHEN Kyler 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
125 JIAO Daniel 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
126 CHUNG Royce 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
127 LEE Ryan 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
128 WU Max 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
129 DECASTRO Evan 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
130 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
131 GU Evan 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
132 LEE Kyle 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
133 LIN Dylan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
134 CHOE Austin 100% 81% 39% 8% 1% - -
135 HUA Isaac 100% 99% 74% 31% 5% -
136 JORGE Elijah 100% 100% 90% 57% 17% 1%
137 ITWARU Logan 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
138 AN Jacob 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
139 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 39% 6% - - - -
140 CHANG Joshua 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -
141 XU Jonathan 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
142 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
143 HUANG Anthony 100% 95% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
143 SUN Andrew 100% 89% 38% 7% - - -
145 PATEL Aarav 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
146 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
147 CHEN Keegan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
148 AZAR Julien 100% 34% 4% - - - -
149 OWNBY Colin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
149 TEOH Liam 100% 91% 51% 16% 2% - -
151 PANG Owen 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
152 BOSNJAK Parker 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
153 KOO Jaeha 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
154 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 100% 95% 59% 18% 2% - -
154 NETESA Lukian 100% 12% 1% - - -
156 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
157 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
158 GOLDSTEIN Tate 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
158 IM Andrew 100% 91% 59% 19% 2% - -
158 LIU Max 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
161 ALANAZI Saif 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
161 WEBER Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
161 ENOIU Ethan 100% 28% 3% - - - -
164 DING Jacob 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% - -
165 KLINE Benjamin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
166 MACK Julian 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
166 LUND Jonah 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
168 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
169 BHATTACHARYA Dhruv 100% 32% 4% - - - -
170 MARVEL Elliot 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
171 SAFAI Bardia 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
171 WANG Alexander 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
173 MENESES-VAUGHN Lucas 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
173 MCINTYRE Christopher 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.