Midwinter Melee

Veteran Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PHAIR Meghan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
2 HARRIS Robert S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
3 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 BOLDUC Patrice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 24%
5 ZHANG Qing 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
6 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
7 NGUYEN Thanh H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
8 FERLAND Brent 100% 100% 92% 50% 6% - -
9 WALTING Paul J. 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 5%
10 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39% 6%
11 D'SOUZA Carlisle (Charlie) J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
12 KROHN Matthew 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% -
13 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
14 FOX Viveka R. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
15 CROCKET Anne R. 100% 96% 44% 8% 1% - -
16 RUGGLES William R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
17 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
18 TASKER Monisha B. 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
19 PEARSALL William 100% 100% 91% 47% 7% - -
20 HANNA Richard 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
21 LUNIEVICZ Joseph P. 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
22 CHOY Ida 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
23 GLAZER Adam 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
24 KASTANAS Stamatia Tina 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
25 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
26 PEDEN Emily 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.